by Lazie
[Winner of the Royal Road writathon challenge April 2024] Alexander Ortega is an outlaw, a man wanted by the Military Police in a world of islands interconnected by the nightsea. That's what the papers say, anyway. Really, he's a man from Buenos Aires who woke up on a beach after being consumed by a blinding bright light. He journeys for only one purpose: to find a way back to his home. Whether fighting mistwalkers, other outlaws, soldiers, or the Scions themselves, he strives to survive to see his world again. Follow along as he joins together with other outlaws, each one drawn from a different world and thrown into the nightsea in a struggle to survive. Will Alex find his way home? Nightsea Outlaw updates on Mondays, Wednesdays, and Fridays at 12:15 AM CST. Find volume summaries with links to every place you can read them on my website: Undertown Underground Current Writing Progress: Bluesky Quarterly Newsletter Updates: Signup Encyclopedia Entries: Here Copyright © 2024 Lazie Writer All Rights Reserved.
No streak history
One state-enhanced oracle order, filtered by each list. Observed Royal Road ranks remain separate ground truth.
Rank updated 2 Oct 2026, 08:09 UTC
Entry forecast updated 2 Oct 2026, 08:09 UTC
Ranking model: rs-public-oracle-state-v1
Forecast model: rs-model-entry-v1
Chart history contains only this ranking model's runs; legacy points are not spliced in.
Coupled 14-day outlook
rs-joint-entry-copula-v1
Any eligible RS entry
0%
Two or more lists
0%
Likely threshold order: Sci-fi → Action → Main → Adventure → Fantasy.
Leading bundle: Sci-fi (0%).
Estimated from one fitted shared story path; category probabilities are not multiplied as if lists were independent.
Separate entry forecast; this probability does not enter the ranking score.
Overall Rising Stars Shadow RS rank
#1568 of 12,176 · 1518 below RS #50
By genre
beats 3% of similar stories
beats 38% of similar stories
beats 74% of similar stories
Readers arrive, few stick
Traffic is strong, but conversion trails comparable stories. The usual suspects are the blurb, the cover and the opening chapters — fixing the hook multiplies everything the existing traffic brings.
Benchmarks: 8,060 active Royal Road stories, percentiles within the 150+ chapters band, cohort of 2026-07-02. Conversion is measured as followers gained per 1,000 views over the recent window.
