by tickles
Eternia Memories: 4 With a ghost from the past finally settling quietly into Class B, bringing along with her half of the Elites, Kato was ready for a long winter to set upon their fractured friend group. However, with physically superior nobles from Central Mil joining them for a semester in the annual exchange program, there was no time to take a breather. A reckoning was upon Kato and his original past, entangled with the important people from his future. Behind that, shifting allegiances in Class A under Fabian and Class D under Arnold would spell no end in sight for the school’s power struggles. Despite all of that, the Karllestide Ball at the end of the calendar year would remain the most prestigious and consequential event, for both public and personal matters for all.
No streak history
One state-enhanced oracle order, filtered by each list. Observed Royal Road ranks remain separate ground truth.
Rank updated 2 Oct 2026, 19:28 UTC
Entry forecast updated 2 Oct 2026, 19:28 UTC
Ranking model: rs-public-oracle-state-v1
Forecast model: rs-model-entry-v1
Chart history contains only this ranking model's runs; legacy points are not spliced in.
Coupled 14-day outlook
rs-joint-entry-copula-v1
Any eligible RS entry
7%
Two or more lists
2%
Likely threshold order: Contemporary → Drama → Main.
Leading bundle: Contemporary (5%).
Estimated from one fitted shared story path; category probabilities are not multiplied as if lists were independent.
Separate entry forecast; this probability does not enter the ranking score.
Overall Rising Stars Shadow RS rank
#11000 of 12,386 · 10950 below RS #50
By genre
beats 18% of similar stories
not enough data yet
beats 20% of similar stories
Both levers trail the field
Traffic and conversion are both below comparable stories. Cadence is the first lever — stories posting near-daily reached 25 followers 17% of the time; stories posting every few days almost never did. Get the flow going, then re-check conversion.
Benchmarks: 8,060 active Royal Road stories, percentiles within the 20–49 chapters band, cohort of 2026-07-02. Conversion is measured as followers gained per 1,000 views over the recent window.
