
by El blackbull
Three hundred and forty years ago, a commoner won the Thornbound Trials, became queen, tried to change everything, and died at thirty-five in a Spirit Calling accident. The royal physician's report was never released. Ten monarchs since. Not one of them common-born. The Seventeenth Trials have begun. The noble houses have already decided the winner. They didn't account for these three. Daven Harke — a commoner and ex-soldier from Vaeltspire's Sixth Ring with a Spirit Calling of the founder thought to be lost to the ages. Caeryn Mourne — a fallen noble living under a false name. Entering the Trials means stepping back into the light. The people who destroyed his house will be watching. Seraveth Coltaine — a noble daughter whose family has made every decide for her, has chosen competition over obedience. Her family calls it betrayal. She calls it the only honest thing she's ever done. The Trials are rigged. None of them are walking away clean.
No streak history
One state-enhanced oracle order, filtered by each list. Observed Royal Road ranks remain separate ground truth.
Rank updated 2 Oct 2026, 04:38 UTC
Entry forecast updated 2 Oct 2026, 04:38 UTC
Ranking model: rs-public-oracle-state-v1
Forecast model: rs-model-entry-v1
Chart history contains only this ranking model's runs; legacy points are not spliced in.
Coupled 14-day outlook
rs-joint-entry-copula-v1
Any eligible RS entry
23%
Two or more lists
14%
Likely threshold order: Action → Fantasy → Adventure → Main.
Leading bundle: Adventure + Action + Fantasy (9%).
Estimated from one fitted shared story path; category probabilities are not multiplied as if lists were independent.
Separate entry forecast; this probability does not enter the ranking score.
Overall Rising Stars Shadow RS rank
#2771 of 12,099 · 2721 below RS #50
By genre
Collecting data. Under 100 lifetime views — conversion rates this early are noise, not signal.