
by Lady Shix
The Kingdom of Stateria has invited warriors, mages, and adventurers from all over the globe to compete in their weekly championships, with promises of fame and bounties to all winners. Witness as Eclipse Gate and The Glass Edge compete as the final two teams in the first ever last stand of the Aureaora Grand Tournament.
No streak history
One state-enhanced oracle order, filtered by each list. Observed Royal Road ranks remain separate ground truth.
Rank updated 4 Oct 2026, 10:38 UTC
Entry forecast updated 4 Oct 2026, 10:38 UTC
Ranking model: rs-public-oracle-state-v1
Forecast model: rs-model-entry-v1
Chart history contains only this ranking model's runs; legacy points are not spliced in.
Coupled 14-day outlook
rs-joint-entry-copula-v1
Any eligible RS entry
22%
Two or more lists
4%
Likely threshold order: Short Story → Fantasy → Main.
Leading bundle: Short Story (18%).
Estimated from one fitted shared story path; category probabilities are not multiplied as if lists were independent.
Separate entry forecast; this probability does not enter the ranking score.
Overall Rising Stars Shadow RS rank
#556 of 12,324 · 506 below RS #50
By genre
Collecting data. Under 100 lifetime views — conversion rates this early are noise, not signal.