by kcmackenzie
The creation of orcs in the world of Ribbon’s Isle
No streak history
One state-enhanced oracle order, filtered by each list. Observed Royal Road ranks remain separate ground truth.
Rank updated 5 Oct 2026, 03:48 UTC
Entry forecast updated 5 Oct 2026, 03:48 UTC
Ranking model: rs-public-oracle-state-v1
Forecast model: rs-model-entry-v1
Chart history contains only this ranking model's runs; legacy points are not spliced in.
Coupled 14-day outlook
rs-joint-entry-copula-v1
Any eligible RS entry
27%
Two or more lists
11%
Likely threshold order: Short Story → Action → Fantasy → Main.
Leading bundle: Short Story (16%).
Estimated from one fitted shared story path; category probabilities are not multiplied as if lists were independent.
Separate entry forecast; this probability does not enter the ranking score.
Overall Rising Stars Shadow RS rank
#658 of 12,278 · 608 below RS #50
By genre
Collecting data. Under 100 lifetime views — conversion rates this early are noise, not signal.
