by CuriousPluto
In Octarrion, grief is a disease and the cure empties you out. Kiel Dorn has spent twelve years in the Priory's underground archive being unremarkable: cataloguing books nobody is permitted to read, and hiding the light that moves under his skin. This morning two of those books are gone. Behind the gap there is a torn page with half a sentence on it, stopped mid-revelation. Somebody tore the rest out of the world. Somebody left him the piece they missed. He is going to look for the rest of it.
No streak history
One state-enhanced oracle order, filtered by each list. Observed Royal Road ranks remain separate ground truth.
Rank updated 2 Oct 2026, 08:18 UTC
Entry forecast updated 2 Oct 2026, 08:18 UTC
Ranking model: rs-public-oracle-state-v1
Forecast model: rs-model-entry-v1
Chart history contains only this ranking model's runs; legacy points are not spliced in.
Coupled 14-day outlook
rs-joint-entry-copula-v1
Any eligible RS entry
5%
Two or more lists
3%
Likely threshold order: Mystery → Romance → Fantasy → Adventure → Main.
Leading bundle: Mystery + Romance + Adventure + Fantasy (1%).
Estimated from one fitted shared story path; category probabilities are not multiplied as if lists were independent.
Separate entry forecast; this probability does not enter the ranking score.
Overall Rising Stars Shadow RS rank
#8882 of 12,176 · 8832 below RS #50
By genre
beats 85% of similar stories
not enough data yet
beats 64% of similar stories
Mid-pack, room on both levers
Traffic and conversion both sit mid-field for a story this size. Growth here compounds from consistency: steady cadence feeds traffic, and a sharper hook lifts what each view is worth.
Benchmarks: 8,060 active Royal Road stories, percentiles within the 10–19 chapters band, cohort of 2026-07-02. Conversion is measured as followers gained per 1,000 views over the recent window.
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