
by SnoopierThanThou
Del Buckley has spent nearly two years trying to pass the Rogue Guild’s training dungeon, failing ninety-seven times despite being perfectly capable of picking pockets, bluffing guards, slipping locks, and surviving most of the trouble she gets herself into. Her teacher, Widow Ghast, insists that Del’s real problem is that she never plans ahead, but Del is convinced that a good rogue should be able to improvise. When she overhears word of Maldy’s Fulcrum, a legendary crowbar that can open a door without leaving any sign of entry, she decides that recovering it will prove she is ready for the guild. Her search leads her into a real dungeon alongside Snaggi, a cautious lizard scout; Milnwint, a fallen angel hoping to break back into heaven; and Finlaes Phinn, a disgraced master thief with his own interest in the prize. By the time they reach the Fulcrum, Del is no longer simply trying to survive the dungeon. She is trying to work out which of her companions is conning whom, which crowbar is actually the real one, and whether Widow Ghast might have been right about planning after all.
No streak history
One state-enhanced oracle order, filtered by each list. Observed Royal Road ranks remain separate ground truth.
Rank updated 6 Oct 2026, 07:58 UTC
Entry forecast updated 6 Oct 2026, 07:58 UTC
Ranking model: rs-public-oracle-state-v1
Forecast model: rs-model-entry-v1
Chart history contains only this ranking model's runs; legacy points are not spliced in.
Coupled 14-day outlook
rs-joint-entry-copula-v1
Any eligible RS entry
4%
Two or more lists
2%
Likely threshold order: Satire → Comedy → Adventure → Fantasy → Main.
Leading bundle: Satire (1%).
Estimated from one fitted shared story path; category probabilities are not multiplied as if lists were independent.
Separate entry forecast; this probability does not enter the ranking score.
Overall Rising Stars Shadow RS rank
#2174 of 3,271 · 2124 below RS #50
By genre
beats 77% of similar stories
not enough data yet
beats 28% of similar stories
Hidden gem — exposure is the bottleneck
Readers who find this story follow it at a high rate; there just aren't enough of them. In our cohort data, near-daily posting lifted the odds of reaching 25 followers from ~0% to 17% — more chapters, shoutout swaps and ads buy the eyeballs this conversion deserves.
Benchmarks: 8,060 active Royal Road stories, percentiles within the 20–49 chapters band, cohort of 2026-07-02. Conversion is measured as followers gained per 1,000 views over the recent window.