by ZAREF
I write stories you won't forget — dark fantasy and grimdark tales that stay with you long after the last page. Find my work on Substack: zaref1.substack.com
No streak history
One state-enhanced oracle order, filtered by each list. Observed Royal Road ranks remain separate ground truth.
Rank updated 3 Oct 2026, 16:18 UTC
Entry forecast updated 3 Oct 2026, 16:18 UTC
Ranking model: rs-public-oracle-state-v1
Forecast model: rs-model-entry-v1
Chart history contains only this ranking model's runs; legacy points are not spliced in.
Coupled 14-day outlook
rs-joint-entry-copula-v1
Any eligible RS entry
27%
Two or more lists
23%
Likely threshold order: Tragedy → Horror → Mystery → Psychological → Main.
Leading bundle: Tragedy + Horror + Psychological + Mystery (13%).
Estimated from one fitted shared story path; category probabilities are not multiplied as if lists were independent.
Separate entry forecast; this probability does not enter the ranking score.
Overall Rising Stars Shadow RS rank
#456 of 12,370 · 406 below RS #50
By genre
Collecting data. Under 100 lifetime views — conversion rates this early are noise, not signal.
