
by Apeirognosis
It started with a single, incredibly unhelpful warning.On his neatly organized bookshelf, nestled beside books he's owned for years, sits a plain black notebook that wasn't there yesterday. Inside is a single sentence:Do not investigate any of the strange things that will happen soon.Naturally annoyed by the vagueness of it, his irritation turns into curiosity when a low metallic scraping echoes from his basement later that night.Midway down his basement stairs, he finds a door cut cleanly into the concrete wall. Beyond it lies a cold, wallpapered hallway that could not possibly fit inside his house. Unable to walk away, he climbs over the staircase railing and steps through, armed with nothing but a tape measure and an old rubber ball.
No streak history
One state-enhanced oracle order, filtered by each list. Observed Royal Road ranks remain separate ground truth.
Rank updated 2 Oct 2026, 09:18 UTC
Entry forecast updated 2 Oct 2026, 09:18 UTC
Ranking model: rs-public-oracle-state-v1
Forecast model: rs-model-entry-v1
Chart history contains only this ranking model's runs; legacy points are not spliced in.
Coupled 14-day outlook
rs-joint-entry-copula-v1
Any eligible RS entry
40%
Two or more lists
34%
Likely threshold order: Tragedy → Horror → Psychological → Mystery → Short Story → Main.
Leading bundle: Tragedy + Horror + Psychological + Mystery + Short Story (20%).
Estimated from one fitted shared story path; category probabilities are not multiplied as if lists were independent.
Separate entry forecast; this probability does not enter the ranking score.
Overall Rising Stars Shadow RS rank
#1101 of 12,198 · 1051 below RS #50
By genre
beats 91% of similar stories
not enough data yet
beats 34% of similar stories
Hidden gem — exposure is the bottleneck
Readers who find this story follow it at a high rate; there just aren't enough of them. In our cohort data, near-daily posting lifted the odds of reaching 25 followers from ~0% to 17% — more chapters, shoutout swaps and ads buy the eyeballs this conversion deserves.
Benchmarks: 8,060 active Royal Road stories, percentiles within the 2–4 chapters band, cohort of 2026-07-02. Conversion is measured as followers gained per 1,000 views lifetime.