
by Cain Ogren
Orion never meant for anyone to read this. Started on his therapist's advice, it was meant to be a way for him to organize his thoughts and come to terms with his own feelings. About a life that's long since fallen apart, and that he's been trying, quietly, to improve. A man who has lost almost everything, getting by and taking things as they come. A life as ordinary as could be. Until it stopped being ordinary. Updated regularly. This is Orion's account of the days everything changed. A long-running prequel.
No streak history
One state-enhanced oracle order, filtered by each list. Observed Royal Road ranks remain separate ground truth.
Rank updated 4 Oct 2026, 05:08 UTC
Entry forecast updated 4 Oct 2026, 05:08 UTC
Ranking model: rs-public-oracle-state-v1
Forecast model: rs-model-entry-v1
Chart history contains only this ranking model's runs; legacy points are not spliced in.
Coupled 14-day outlook
rs-joint-entry-copula-v1
Any eligible RS entry
23%
Two or more lists
16%
Likely threshold order: Tragedy → Psychological → Sci-fi → Fantasy → Main.
Leading bundle: Tragedy + Psychological + Sci-fi (7%).
Estimated from one fitted shared story path; category probabilities are not multiplied as if lists were independent.
Separate entry forecast; this probability does not enter the ranking score.
Overall Rising Stars Shadow RS rank
#3074 of 12,238 · 3024 below RS #50
By genre
beats 75% of similar stories
not enough data yet
beats 19% of similar stories
Hidden gem — exposure is the bottleneck
Readers who find this story follow it at a high rate; there just aren't enough of them. In our cohort data, near-daily posting lifted the odds of reaching 25 followers from ~0% to 17% — more chapters, shoutout swaps and ads buy the eyeballs this conversion deserves.
Benchmarks: 8,060 active Royal Road stories, percentiles within the 5–9 chapters band, cohort of 2026-07-02. Conversion is measured as followers gained per 1,000 views lifetime.