
by P. Avery
When Mara first finds him, he is a nameless goblin with no family and no place among people. She gives him the name Ash. Then, after hearing music for the first time, he decides he wants something no goblin is supposed to want. He wants to become a bard. Unfortunately, the system was never built for goblin bards, and most villagers would rather reach for a weapon than listen to him play. Armed with a red scarf, an instrument made from scraps, and the true stories he gathers along the way, Ash begins creating a path the system itself does not understand. Scrapbard is a character-driven, slow-burn progression fantasy about an unlikely hero learning his craft one broken instrument, hard-won skill, and imperfect song at a time. There is magic, danger, friendship, gradual advancement, and plenty of crooked music, but more than anything, it is a story about finding worth in small, strange, and broken things.**Release Schedule currently Mondays and Thursdays @ 7:30am PST/10:30 EST/3:30 PM BST**
No streak history
One state-enhanced oracle order, filtered by each list. Observed Royal Road ranks remain separate ground truth.
Rank updated 2 Oct 2026, 06:58 UTC
Entry forecast updated 2 Oct 2026, 06:58 UTC
Ranking model: rs-public-oracle-state-v1
Forecast model: rs-model-entry-v1
Chart history contains only this ranking model's runs; legacy points are not spliced in.
Coupled 14-day outlook
rs-joint-entry-copula-v1
Any eligible RS entry
41%
Two or more lists
1%
Likely threshold order: Drama → Fantasy → Adventure → Main.
Leading bundle: Drama (40%).
Estimated from one fitted shared story path; category probabilities are not multiplied as if lists were independent.
Separate entry forecast; this probability does not enter the ranking score.
Overall Rising Stars Shadow RS rank
#2569 of 12,161 · 2519 below RS #50
By genre
beats 96% of similar stories
beats 73% of similar stories
beats 77% of similar stories
Firing on all cylinders
Traffic and conversion are both strong for a story this size. Readers are finding it and sticking — if Rising Stars is the goal, this is the moment to push.
Benchmarks: 8,060 active Royal Road stories, percentiles within the 20–49 chapters band, cohort of 2026-07-02. Conversion is measured as followers gained per 1,000 views over the recent window.
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