by VSS_Ardenne
VSS Ardenne is a working generation ship, stitched together from whatever survived the Collapse and kept running by a crew who know how fragile their world really is. It's systems are finely balanced, and even it's relationships are part of a designed ecosystem - social, political, and biological. When a single anomaly enters that closed system, the balance that's held everything together starts to shift in ways no one planned for. This is a slow-burn, character-driven sci-fi about a long haul scientific mission, and what happens when one new variable starts bending all of its careful systems out of shape. (Update: As of July 12/26, I have 169 parts completed. Thank you for taking the time to read my creation.)
No streak history
One state-enhanced oracle order, filtered by each list. Observed Royal Road ranks remain separate ground truth.
Rank updated 5 Oct 2026, 15:28 UTC
Entry forecast updated 5 Oct 2026, 15:28 UTC
Ranking model: rs-public-oracle-state-v1
Forecast model: rs-model-entry-v1
Chart history contains only this ranking model's runs; legacy points are not spliced in.
Coupled 14-day outlook
rs-joint-entry-copula-v1
Any eligible RS entry
5%
Two or more lists
3%
Likely threshold order: Tragedy → Sci-fi → Psychological → Romance → Main.
Leading bundle: Tragedy + Psychological + Sci-fi + Romance (1%).
Estimated from one fitted shared story path; category probabilities are not multiplied as if lists were independent.
Separate entry forecast; this probability does not enter the ranking score.
Overall Rising Stars Shadow RS rank
#2816 of 3,355 · 2766 below RS #50
By genre
beats 13% of similar stories
not enough data yet
beats 10% of similar stories
Both levers trail the field
Traffic and conversion are both below comparable stories. Cadence is the first lever — stories posting near-daily reached 25 followers 17% of the time; stories posting every few days almost never did. Get the flow going, then re-check conversion.
Benchmarks: 8,060 active Royal Road stories, percentiles within the 50–149 chapters band, cohort of 2026-07-02. Conversion is measured as followers gained per 1,000 views over the recent window.
