
by James Foster Reed
It starts with the usual spring tick advisory. Then Helen swears one lands on her neck in her own driveway. Earl starts telling his “dive bomber” stories again. People laugh. Someone jokes, “When ticks fly.” By August, nobody is laughing anymore.
No streak history
One state-enhanced oracle order, filtered by each list. Observed Royal Road ranks remain separate ground truth.
Rank updated 26 Oct 2026, 13:48 UTC
Entry forecast updated 26 Oct 2026, 13:48 UTC
Ranking model: rs-public-oracle-state-v1
Forecast model: rs-model-entry-v1
Chart history contains only this ranking model's runs; legacy points are not spliced in.
Not enough recent follower history to estimate a shadow rank yet.
Collecting data. We've only observed this story once so far — funnel ratios need at least two snapshot days.