by Clarke Shields
Avernus “Ace” Grayson had never been good at much. Working the fields, mucking stalls, or beating in skulls, he’d been average across the board. Though, years ago, after a freak incident while serving overseas, he awakes in a body not quite his own, living a life he didn’t know in a world he didn’t recognize anymore. The world was on the brink of total war, and suddenly, the government wanted him back. The entire planet seemed to be falling apart under him, and for once, he’s tired of just sitting back and letting the tide of life knock him over.
No streak history
One state-enhanced oracle order, filtered by each list. Observed Royal Road ranks remain separate ground truth.
Rank updated 4 Oct 2026, 03:48 UTC
Entry forecast updated 4 Oct 2026, 03:48 UTC
Ranking model: rs-public-oracle-state-v1
Forecast model: rs-model-entry-v1
Chart history contains only this ranking model's runs; legacy points are not spliced in.
Coupled 14-day outlook
rs-joint-entry-copula-v1
Any eligible RS entry
17%
Two or more lists
1%
Likely threshold order: Sci-fi → Action → Main.
Leading bundle: Sci-fi (16%).
Estimated from one fitted shared story path; category probabilities are not multiplied as if lists were independent.
Separate entry forecast; this probability does not enter the ranking score.
Overall Rising Stars Shadow RS rank
#6047 of 12,496 · 5997 below RS #50
By genre
beats 21% of similar stories
not enough data yet
beats 21% of similar stories
Both levers trail the field
Traffic and conversion are both below comparable stories. Cadence is the first lever — stories posting near-daily reached 25 followers 17% of the time; stories posting every few days almost never did. Get the flow going, then re-check conversion.
Benchmarks: 8,060 active Royal Road stories, percentiles within the 5–9 chapters band, cohort of 2026-07-02. Conversion is measured as followers gained per 1,000 views lifetime.
