by Nin2500
ARC#1-#3 COMPLETE. START OF ARC #4 Story is being gone through and refined, with errors corrected. A dud. Rotting in a decrepit flat, a cocktail of drugs to keep a scintilla of control. To die in silence, a nameless failure of a broken world. The system descends to subdue what it can't define. An insubordinate glitch. Hard magic, historical events/figures, sci-fi, mythology/folklore and other elements. No power-fantasy. No RPG system. Project will continue to expand from Arc #4 as more is introduced. Please leave a review if you read 1-18, appreciate any feeback.
No streak history
One state-enhanced oracle order, filtered by each list. Observed Royal Road ranks remain separate ground truth.
Rank updated 2 Oct 2026, 04:49 UTC
Entry forecast updated 2 Oct 2026, 04:49 UTC
Ranking model: rs-public-oracle-state-v1
Forecast model: rs-model-entry-v1
Chart history contains only this ranking model's runs; legacy points are not spliced in.
Coupled 14-day outlook
rs-joint-entry-copula-v1
Any eligible RS entry
7%
Two or more lists
3%
Likely threshold order: Sci-fi → Romance → Action → Adventure → Fantasy → Main.
Leading bundle: Sci-fi (4%).
Estimated from one fitted shared story path; category probabilities are not multiplied as if lists were independent.
Separate entry forecast; this probability does not enter the ranking score.
Overall Rising Stars Shadow RS rank
#11598 of 12,127 · 11548 below RS #50
By genre
beats 13% of similar stories
not enough data yet
beats 17% of similar stories
Both levers trail the field
Traffic and conversion are both below comparable stories. Cadence is the first lever — stories posting near-daily reached 25 followers 17% of the time; stories posting every few days almost never did. Get the flow going, then re-check conversion.
Benchmarks: 8,060 active Royal Road stories, percentiles within the 50–149 chapters band, cohort of 2026-07-02. Conversion is measured as followers gained per 1,000 views over the recent window.
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